ISLAMABAD: The 107th assembly of the Nationwide Accounts Committee (NAC) convened on the Ministry of Planning, Improvement, and Particular Initiatives on Tuesday. The assembly accepted the introduction of Quarterly Nationwide Accounts (QNA) within the statistical system of the nation.
Chaired by the Secretary of the Ministry, the committee reviewed essential financial indicators, highlighting a notable restoration in Q1 2023-24, boasting a development of two.13% in comparison with 0.96% in the identical quarter of the earlier fiscal yr.
The Quarterly Nationwide Accounts (QNA) is sort of a detailed monetary snapshot of a rustic’s financial actions, compiled each three months. It’s a well-organized system that places collectively numerous data over this era, making a structured technique to analyze and mannequin the nation’s financial efficiency.
One may consider it as a bridge between the broader Annual Nationwide Accounts (which cowl a complete yr) and shorter-term indicators that concentrate on particular points of the economic system. Basically, QNA gives a extra frequent and detailed take a look at the nation’s financial well being, making it a helpful device for understanding how issues are happening a quarterly foundation.
Initiated by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) after adopting a brand new base for nationwide accounts in January 2022, the event of Quarterly Nationwide Accounts concerned collaboration with the World Financial institution and a technical committee of nationwide consultants. The IMF included QNA compilation in its structural benchmark, emphasizing well timed dissemination.
Introduction of Quarterly GDP Methodology:
Subsequently, the NAC made historical past by approving the industry-wise methodology for compiling Quarterly GDP, overlaying the interval from Q1 2016-17 to Q1 2023-24, utilizing 2015-16 as the bottom yr. This step was taken to boost the accuracy and timeliness of financial statistics. Offering a extra nuanced strategy of taking a look at macroeconomic information.
Revised GDP figures and sectoral evaluation:
As per particulars shared by the planning ministry, the GDP for 2022-23 underwent a slight downward revision from 0.29% to -0.17%. The ultimate development fee for 2021-22 was additionally estimated at 6.17%, showcasing steady development in agriculture, improved industrial actions, and a notable enhance in providers.
The agriculture sector witnessed vital enhancements, with constructive revisions in essential crops regardless of challenges in sugarcane manufacturing. Industrial sector development, influenced by mining and quarrying, electrical energy, fuel, and water provide, confronted a decline resulting from challenges in large-scale manufacturing and development. The providers sector additionally skilled a decline attributed to varied components, together with transportation and storage, data & communication, finance & insurance coverage, public administration, and training.
Q1 2023-24 Estimates:
To fulfill IMF-SBA program benchmarks, PBS introduced revised GDP numbers for 2022-23 and Q1 2023-24 to the NAC on November 28, 2023. The committee accepted the QNA sequence, together with first-quarter estimates for 2023-24. Notably, a GDP development fee of two.13% was estimated for Q1 2023-24, with constructive contributions from agriculture, {industry}, and providers.
The NAC acknowledged the collective efforts of the Nationwide Accounts crew of PBS, Ministry of Finance, and State Financial institution of Pakistan in compiling revised GDP estimates underneath difficult circumstances. Whereas the launched GDP estimates meet IMF benchmarks, the annual figures stay topic to revision within the NAC assembly scheduled for Could 2024 because of the time-lag concerned in finalizing information for the final two fiscal years.